Japan’s government has raised $12bn from the initial public offering (IPO) of Japan Post, marking the biggest flotation in global markets since Alibaba in September 2014 – and Japan’s biggest privatisation since 1987. The holding company of Japan Post jumped by 26% on its first day, Wednesday 4 November.
Two financial units are also being sold off. Japan Post Bank rose by 15% and the insurance division soared by 56%. This week’s initial public offering has put 11% of each company in private hands. The plan is to sell all of the bank and insurer, and retain a third of the parent. Japan Post is a national institution and behemoth with around 24,000 branches, more than all of the coutry’s banks combined.
What the commentators said
To some, the sell-off of a national treasure will herald a greatly reduced service, hitting vulnerable old people as branches in remote areas close, said Leo Lewis on FT.com. To others, the move is “an overdue triumph of market forces over waste and cronyism”.
That’s the view that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe takes, and it’s “remarkable how little resistance” he has faced from his colleagues, according to Jesper Koll of Wisdom Tree Investments. Ten years ago, Prime Minister Koizumi’s attempt to get it past his party foundered. “Japan’s old guard is dying away.”
The hope is to “build a shareholding culture”, said Anthony Fensom on TheDiplomat.com. Only 11% of Japanese households’ money is in stocks, compared to 34% in the US and 18% in Europe. The IPO bodes well. Strong demand for the group’s healthy yield of around 3% ensured a good start.
Citizens benefiting more from stocks is another element of Abenomics, the government’s programme for ending stagnation. Meanwhile, money printing has weakened the yen, ensuring record profits for Japan’s exporters. Throw in corporation tax cuts and still-reasonable valuations, and there is scope for the Japanese market to return a total of 10% over the next year, reckoned John Vail of Nikko.