Gamble of the week: A resurgent electronics maker

Stadium has nothing to do with sports facilities. The largest of its two divisions (accounting for 61% of profits) provides contract manufacturing (of printed circuit boards and the like) to the electronics industry. The rest of its profits come from developing power supplies are used in fire and security applications, LED lighting and healthcare. The group employs 900 staff at its sites in Hartlepool, Rugby and China and generated turnover of £44.9m in 2011 (41% of it overseas).

Recent trading has been patchy, which explains the miserable rating. In July, CEO Stephen Phipson commented that first-half sales would be down on last year, thanks to the weak economy and the ending of several legacy contracts. However, there is room for optimism.

Pre-production trials are being conducted on two big contracts that are due to start in the fourth quarter. The firm also recently bagged a number of important business wins, and continues to protect profit margins by making its factories more efficient, centralising procurement and reducing overheads.

So full-year profits are still on track, albeit weighted towards the second half of the year. And with a £2.6m cash pot, Phipson is considering strategic acquisitions to accelerate the group’s transformation into a provider of niche technologies, offering outsourced electronics manufacturing.

Stadium Group (Aim: SDM) 

 
The City expects 2012 turnover and earnings per shares (EPS) to come in at £46.3m and 8.7p respectively, rising to £50.1m and 9.9p in 2013. The stock trades on a price/earnings (p/e) ratio of 7.5, with a 4% dividend yield (2.3 times covered). I rate the group on a nine times EBITA multiple. Adjusting for the cash and a £6.4m pension deficit delivers an intrinsic worth of 100p per share.

Being smaller than many of its rivals, it may struggle to compete on some big outsourcing deals. And it could be hit by another downturn, currency movements or counter-party risk. That said, the firm is successfully implementing its own self-help measures to maintain margins. Meanwhile, a beefed-up sales team should bring in new clients and reduce the firm’s reliance on a few chunky accounts. Interims are out on Tuesday 4 September.

Rating: SPECULATIVE BUY at 64p (market cap £19m)


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