The week’s share tipsters at a glance – 30 August

>

BUY

Company

Publication

Reason

Price tipped

Afren (AFR)
Oil & gas

The Times

Afren’s prospective assets off east Africa have been upgraded from 2.1 billion barrels to 5.8 billion, while the Kurdistan Barda Rash field started producing in June. It’s attractive, if risky.

130p
150p/72p*

Avon Rubber (AVON)
Misc. manufacturing

Investors Chronicle

Avon Rubber is a market-leader in defence and dairy, standing it in good stead to expand its markets and develop new products. A price/earnings (p/e) ratio of ten looks too low.

300p
330p/255p

BHP Billiton (BLT)
Mining

The Daily Telegraph

Despite a 26% fall in pre-tax profits the miner is highly profitable, has an operating margin of 39% and a full order book. Spending cuts bode well for shareholders. Its June 2013 p/e is 9.5.

1,951p
2,238p/1,625p

Bovis Homes (BVS)
House builders

The Daily Telegraph

The housebuilder has made cheap land purchases during the downturn, helping boost operating margins from 10% to 12%-13%. A current year p/e of 17.7 falls to 13.5 next year. Buy.

492p
523p/335p

Carillion (CLLN)
Engineering/construction

The Times

A focus on support services has raised operating margins and lifted profits 69% to £25.9m. A share-price decline opens a decent entry point on a p/e of six, yielding a rock solid 6.7%.

268p
367p/235p

Cluff Gold (CLF)
Aim

Shares

After 18 months of underperformance by the sector, the gold miner should benefit from a likely third round of money printing (QE3). Buy ahead of resource upgrades in October.

69p
115p/49p

Debenhams (DEB)
Retail

Investors Chronicle

The high-street store has room for growth in Britain and rising online revenue (now 10% of
total transactions) is helping international growth. A p/e of ten doesn’t reflect future potential.

94p
96p/50p

Electric Word (ELE)
Aim

The Times

The specialist publisher has fallen from around 10p in 2007 but could benefit from new healthcare regulation. A one-for-nine placing at 1.5p could be an entry point for a speculative buy.

1.6p
3p/1.6p

James Fisher & Sons (FSJ)
Transportation

The Daily Telegraph

The marine services firm’s focus on niche areas, such as submarine rescue, helped boost
six-month revenues 27% to £188.3m. Business in new regions should bolster growth. Buy.

673p
705p/460p

Kenmare Resources (KMR)
Mining

The Times

Prices are holding up well for the miner’s mineral sands and its Mozambique asset is set to hit capacity late in 2013, boosting operating profits almost 50% against 2012. A speculative buy.

40p
63p/30p

Mears Group (MER)
Commercial services

Investors Chronicle

The social housing and care provider has been winning deals and has a £2.7bn order book covering 85% of 2013 revenues. On a 2012 p/e of less than ten the shares are a buy for growth.

276p
294p/206p

NCC Group (NCC)
Computers

The Times

The cyber security specialist is consolidating the US market, and future IT trends, including mobile security, look supportive. A high p/e of 17 is deserved for its long-term prospects.

884p
922p/620p

New World Resources (NWR)
Coal

Investors Chronicle

Weak coking coal prices have dragged the coal miner down from 931p in February 2011 and the shares now look cheap on a 2013 p/e of 8.3. It’s a medium-term recovery play.

304p
625p/265p

Persimmon (MER)
House builders

The Daily Telegraph

Buy the UK housebuilder for income as the group plans to pay shareholders £6.20 per share over nine years to 2021. The first payment of 75p in June 2013 equates to a yield of 10.8%.

697p
750p/393p

Petra Diamonds (PDL)
Mining

The Daily Telegraph

A share-price plunge on reduced production guidance linked to the miner’s Finsch asset looks overdone. The shares should rebound when diamond prices recover. It’s on a 2013 p/e of 10.3.

102p
189p/93p

Portmeirion (PMP)
Aim

Shares

After a 6% profit increase in the first half, boosted by strong Diamond Jubilee sales, the firm could beat full-year forecasts, leading to a rerating. It’s on a prospective 2012 p/e of ten.

473p
530p/413p

Premier Oil (PMO)
Oil & gas

The Times

The oil firm’s $1bn investment in the Falklands isn’t risk free, but adds 40% to estimated resources and reserves. It’s a speculative buy with the shares trading at half net asset value.

377p
453p/306p

Sports Direct (SPD)
Retail

Shares

As rival JJB Sports struggles, the retailer is upping market share and online sales are soaring (up 82% year-on-year). Buy ahead of positive news following 5 September trading updates.

598p
615p/467p

Vitec (VTC)
Misc. manufacturing

The Daily Telegraph

The firm behind the cameras used for the London Olympics should benefit from TV studios moving to HD and the growth of broadcasting in Asia. Buy on a 2012 p/e of 11.6 yielding 3.4%.

301p
316p/189p

WH Smith (SMWH)
Retail

The Daily
Telegraph

The newsagent has strong growth potential in its global travel business, while a planned £50m buy-back is attractive. An August 2013 p/e of 9.1 looks decent value on a yield of 4.3%.

598p
615p/467p

SELL

Abcam (ABC)
Biotechnology

Investors Chronicle

Short Abcam as its high p/e of 27 is vulnerable when news turns less positive. The EU crisis and impasse over the US Federal budget could see a repeat of last year’s share-price fall.

404p
434p/317p

Biome Technologies (BIOM)
Aim

Shares

Sell the bioplastics specialist ahead of 3 September interims as turnover fell 38% in the second quarter (including sales down 58% in Germany).

0.1p
0.24p/0.07p

Severfield-Rowen (SFR)
Engineering/construction

Investors Chronicle

Falling construction demand, tightening margins and payment delays hit the structural steel specialist’s first half. The UK sector outlook is gloomy and there’s more potential downside.

137p
220p/130p

Spirax-Sarco (SPX)
Machinery diversified

Investors Chronicle

After a 6% fall in pre-tax profits in the first half, the group could face forecast cuts. A p/e of 16 is a premium to the sector and looks steep, given the poor outlook. Sell.

1,948p
2,353p/1,665p

United Utilities (UU)
Water

Shares

Takeover talk of bids up to 900p per share for the water supply firm look wide of the mark as the group is trading at its highest level since 2008. Sell before the takeover premium vanishes.

721p
816p/574p

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *